Phyrric victory?

We all see the pictures of people cheering in the streets for the end of the Qaddaffi regime, but I believe we are going to see things different in some weeks from now. While it is good to know that the regime is over the question that will arise sure enough is whether this will turn out to be a phyrric victory for all those standing their celebrating their “liberation”. The bets are that they will just find out later that they handed their sovereignty and their countries wast reserves of oil and water to the international banking cartel.

Take a look at the movements in Egypt for example. It was praised for being the uprisal of the people for democracy and against the kleptocratic regime (that was setup in the 60s by the west) the movement for democracy has been halted by the military which now unofficially controls the country. In fact today an average Egyptian does not live different than before the uprisal against Mubarak. Political reforms are not progressing as the military rules the country, relying on the same corrupt apparatus that has been installed by the former leader. Given that the egyptian military has been sponsored by the US for more that 35 years now you can guess who is in charge.

Now Lybia is different. The west has allowed the armament of wider parts of the population and indeed even delivered weapons (which the rebels sure have to repay for with some oil contracts and access to the fossil water reserves later. See my article on Veolia, the biggest french water supply company here). Also note that while fighting might be ending today this advance to Tripolis has only been possible through a massive NATO air support in the last 48 hours.

Looking into the future of the country there is a high possibility that the war will most likely split the country, either geographically or due to different armed factions which are domintated by tribal objectives. This might end in internal violence sort of like the Iraq has been facing ever since the US invaded if the rebels cannot manage a proper transition into the post Qaddaffi era.

Given the richess in natural ressources and tribal arrangements within the lybian society this could even turn out to be a next Afghanistan, with a paid goverment sitting in Tripols with limited if no control over vast area of the country. While this may be the most horrible situation for the lybian people by far it could be exactly what some powers in politics and banking would like to see: A lybian population that is detracted from the looting of it’s natural wealth by the daily struggle to survive and to cope with reality in this social experiment that is to come after the Qadhaffi regime.

As stated before, all the help and assistance given by the NATO is surely not for free. Those who follow the matter should know already that the rebels have created their own oil company in order to pay out for the NATO assistance back in March/April. While Qatar is the buyer ask yourself why a country with own ressources should buy up foreign oil. Guess just a proxy to funnel the money to the real masters….

But go figure out for yourself

The Angry Rottweiler


2 thoughts on “Phyrric victory?

  1. More likely bengazhi will be the new capital, or at least the new economic capital. Tripoli is just a big city with nothing important attached to, while Bengazhi is the heart of the oil district.

    • That is a possibility of course. Nevertheless even the MSM is now waking up to the fact that the rebels are split up in factions. The outlook for Lybia is bleak and they are waking up to the fact that this is not rebels against a dictator but tribes with interest against each other. I hope Lybia is not going down the road of Afghanistan otr the Iraq. Thanks for the comment, btw.

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